KalshiがシリーズGで10億ドル調達
米予測市場運営企業カルシ（Kalshi）が、シリーズGの資金調達ラウンドで10億ドル（約1,578億円）を調達し、調達後の企業評価額が400億ドル（約6.3兆円）になったと10月29日に発表した。
カルシは調達資金を、予測市場の拡大や新商品の開発、機関投資家向け事業の強化などに充てる方針とのこと。
今回の資金調達は、投資会社のセコイア（Sequoia）とウェリントン（Wellington）が共同で主導したという。ほかに、ベイリーギフォード（Baillie Gifford）、アンドリーセンホロウィッツ（Andreessen Horowitz）、コーチュー（Coatue）、モルガン・スタンレー・インベストメント・マネジメント（Morgan Stanley Investment Management）など計10社が参加した。
カルシは、将来の出来事の結果を対象とする契約を売買する予測市場を基盤に、暗号資産や商品、無期限先物などへ事業を拡大している。今後は、指数関連商品や個別株の無期限先物に加え、計算資源の将来価格などを対象とする市場の開発を進める方針だ。
機関投資家向け事業では、ヘッジファンドや自己勘定取引会社、金融機関などを対象に、営業活動や販売網の拡充、商品開発に投資する。また、カルシは海外展開にも資金を投じる方針で、中南米と欧州を重点地域としている。
カルシによると、予測市場、商品、暗号資産、無期限先物などを含む事業全体の年率換算取引高は1兆ドル（約157.8兆円）を超えたという。暗号資産分野の年率換算取引高は1,400億ドル（約22兆円）に達したという。
また、カルシは数カ月前に開始した無期限先物事業について、開始以来の累計取引高が830億ドル（約13.1兆円）、取引者数が50万人を超えたと説明している。
なお、カルシは今年5月7日にもシリーズFラウンドで10億ドル（約1,578億円）を調達しており、当時の企業評価額は220億ドル（約3.5兆円）だった。今回の資金調達により、同社の企業評価額は約半年で約82%上昇した。
Kalshi just raised an additional $1B, valuing the company at $40B. This will help us expand into stocks, compute, indices, and institutional. Tomorrow marks 8 years since we got accepted into YC and the journey began. The odds of a kid from Lebanon getting here were pretty low. Growing up there was great, but very challenging. We went through war. We had bombs explode in front of my house. I watched brilliant people’s lives destroyed for reasons beyond their control. Lebanon is an unpredictable country. That unpredictability made it hard to plan for success. And yet despite it all, my mom sacrificed everything to give me and my brother the chance to go back to the US. I found my refuge in two things: anime and math. Especially math. I loved math because it calmed me. It was the opposite of unpredictable: clear, deterministic, orderly, and consistent. The proof is either right or wrong. I find that elegant and beautiful. I was lucky. I made it to my dream school, MIT (largely thanks to my mom), and my love for math quickly translated to a love for statistics, probability, and markets. I love markets for a lot of the same reasons. Their incentives are clear: you get rewarded for being right and for pursuing knowledge. They are effective weighting machines for people’s opinions. They provide an incentive to be truthful, because they separate good information from bad information. They let people challenge the consensus and be rewarded for being right. IMO, Hayek, Surowiecki, Hanson, Tetlock were the founding fathers of prediction markets. The more I read them, the more obsessed I got with the idea of applying market-based pricing to more things. Markets bring rigor and critical thinking to more questions. And in an increasingly polarized and information-positioned word, I believe we need that more than ever. Markets would also let people predict and manage more things outside of their control. And the world was becoming increasingly more unpredictable, and more like Lebanon, not less. That love for markets got Luana and me to build Kalshi. At first, it was mostly an idea we couldn’t stop talking about. We didn’t have much money. Luana’s sister bought the Kalshi domain name for us (for ~$1.7k). We moved to SF to get started, and embarked on a long, uncertain journey to build a regulated exchange. The paranoia and anxiety from my childhood never left me. Even when things are going well, I think about what could go wrong. When people trust you with their money, that instinct serves a purpose. I wanted us to build something that would hold up under pressure. The first principle we defined at the company: regulatory-first. We worked with regulators for years before we listed a single market. We took every step to do things the right way and always asked for approval before proceeding. It was very hard at times, especially when we were being overtaken by competitors, but we believe doing things the right way matters. Luana and I aren’t the only ones. Our team put years of their lives into something far from certain. That’s especially true of Lior, Brandon, Rainer, Luis, Xavier, and Josef, who stuck with us for years. They believed when there was little to point to. And they stuck with us no matter how long it took. Kalshi is the result of an arduous journey through a long desert where, at times, most people didn’t understand why we were making the walk. Many people still don’t understand what we’re doing and some disagree with us. Markets have historically taken time to be understood and accepted by some. But while not always obvious, their benefits are vast: capital markets help allocate capital and derivative markets help predict and manage uncertainty. I firmly believe in these benefits, and that’s why I am dedicating my life to building this market. Markets have caused issues many times in the past, and they certainly can present harms (manipulation, insiders, and addictive behaviors). These harms are more acute for certain types of markets (sports, short-term options, etc.) than others. It’s why I believe that guardrails need to exist and why we have taken the approach we have taken. We have consistently prioritized thinking critically about the risks and building the appropriate safeguards, sometimes beyond what the regulators require us to do. Many believe more needs to be done, and that’s a conversation I welcome. Over time, I believe more people will see what we see: markets can help us get smarter and manage the future with more rigor, more precision, and more certainty than we have today. To our tens of millions of users: you have made Kalshi bigger than anything Luana and I could have possibly imagined. Thank you for trusting us and thank you for coming along on the journey. I feel a strong responsibility to build a company worthy of that trust. I am so lucky to spend my life building something I love. I hope everyone finds something they care about that much. Something that keeps you curious. Something that pushes you to your limits. Something that may put you at odds with the status quo. Something worth the hard days. For me, it’s still markets. The more I learn, the more I want to understand.
— Tarek Mansour (@mansourtarek_) October 30, 2026
参考：カルシ
画像：PIXTA